Preconceived Notions Preconceived Notions:

Before computing correlations for Erie County, I possessed preconceived notions of the correlations that I would find.  In many ways, my views epitomized stereotypical outlooks in regard to AIDS; I believed that poor, black areas would correlate positively with AIDS rates, while wealthy, white areas would possess negative correlations.  Zipcodes such as 14201, 14202, and 14203 possess rates greater than 3 times that of the national rate and are located within the inner city of Buffalo (Table 1).  These zipcodes also possess a greater percentage of the black population, 23.42 % of the population of 14201 is black, while 14202 has 33.17%, and 14203 has 65.61% (Table 2).  These zipcodes are also characterized by extremely low median incomes; 14201 has a median income of only $14,642 and the median income of 14203 is merely $9,400 (Table 3).  Zipcodes with rates twice the national average or greater also exhibit much of the same qualities as those areas with rates 3 times the national rate.  While areas such as 14204, 14208, 14209, and 14213 have rates about ½ less than areas of the inner city and do not exhibit such significant impoverishment, the median household incomes for these zipcodes are at the low end of the spectrum when looking at Erie County as a whole (Table 1, 3).  14204 possesses a median income on $15,901, while 14208 and 14209 both possess an income of around $22,000 (Table 3).  Also, ½ to ¾ of the population in these areas is black, 14204 has a 74.24% black population, while the population of 14208 is 84.24% black and 14209 is 49.68% black (Table 2).  Contrasting the large black populations of the inner city zipcodes, the wealthy suburbs possess AIDS rates about 1/8th that of the national average.  14031 and 14221, both of which are located near my zipcode, are the wealthiest areas, with median household incomes of $60,694 and $60,494, and possess the third and fifth lowest AIDS rates for Erie County (Table 1, 3).

 
Correlations
Conclusions
 
   
 
 
 
 
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