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Riley Croghan
CORE 116
Spring 2007

The AIDS Epidemic in Washington, DC

Statistics

STATISTICS

 

CONTENTS

Map One:...............................................................................The Eight Wards At A Glance
               
Table One:...................................................
Cumulative & Living AIDS Cases by Ward

Table Two:.........................................................................................Racial Profile by Ward

Table Three:...........................................%Black vs. Cumulative AIDS cases, by Ward

Table Four:..........................................AIDS Cases by Mode of Transmission in D.C.

Table Five:..................MALE AIDS Cases by Mode of Transmission/Race in D.C.

Map Two:.........................................................................................MSM total cases in D.C.

Map Three:..................................................................................Female/Male Ratio in D.C

Map Four:.............................................Transmission from IDU/Sex/Childbirth in D.C.

Table Six:............................Public Assistance vs. Cumulative AIDS cases, by Ward

Table Seven:........%Births to Teen Mothers vs. Cumulative AIDS cases, by Ward

Table Eight:..............................Family Income vs. Cumulative AIDS cases, by Ward

Table Eight:..............................Violent Crimes vs. Cumulative AIDS cases, by Ward

 

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/c/cb/2002_dc_ward_map.jpg


Map One: The Eight Wards At A Glance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


Table One: Cumulative and Living AIDS Cases by Ward, 2003*                                        

Ward Total Population Cumulative Diagnosed AIDS Living AIDS Rate of Living AIDS per 100,000 Rate of Cumulative AIDS per 100,000
1 73,364 2,482 1,361 1,855 3,383
2 68,869 2,308 1,195 1,735 3,351
3 73,718 477 189 256 647
4 74,092 1,337 786 1,061 1,805
5 72,527 1,727 1,007 1,475 2,381
6 68,035 2,023 1,088 1,599 2,973
7 70,540 1,182 726 1,029 1,676
8 70,914 1,303 809 1,141 1,837
OTHER   1,170 933    
TOTAL 572,059 11,441 8,094    

Ward 3 has a shockingly low number of recorded HIV infections, both cumulative and diagnosed. Ward 3 has less than half the cumulative cases as the next lowest ward (7), and not even one fifth the cases of the highest ward (1). With living AIDS cases, the next lowest ward has 10 times the infections.


*Information from "The HIV/AIDS Epidemiologic Profile for the District of Columbia" Dec 2004 [4]

 

 


Table Two: Racial Profile by Ward, 2000*

Ward three is again radically different. Whites dominate the population. In most other Wards, the white population is less than 50%. Might race and AIDS rates be correlated?

*Table copied from "The HIV/AIDS Epidemiologic Profile for the District of Columbia" Dec 2004 [4]

 

 

 


Table Three: Percent Black vs. Cumulative AIDS rate

WARD PERCENT BLACK* CUMULATIVE AIDS RATE
1 46 3,383
2 20 3,351
3 6.2 647
4 79 1,805
5 86 2,381
6 65 2,973
7 97 1,676
8 93 1,837

Correlation: .0442
Correlation without Ward 3: .89

After excluding Ward 3, this is the strongest correlation I found. It also shows the most dramatic effect of removing Ward 3.

*Information from "The HIV/AIDS Epidemiologic Profile for the District of Columbia" Dec 2004 [4]


Table Four: AIDS Cases by Mode of Transmission in Washington, D.C.****           

Mode of Transmission

Male

Female

Total

Percent

MSM*

7110

0

7110

42.83%

IDU**

2519

1352

3871

23.30%

MSM/IDU

665

0

665

4%

Het. Sex w/IDU

289

322

611

3.70%

Het. Sex w/PWHA***

556

765

1321

8%

Het. Sex w/Recipients Blood Prod.

11

8

19

0.10%

Het/ Sex w/Bi Male

0

42

42

0.20%

Het. Total

856

1137

1993

12%

Blood/Blood Products

65

52

117

0.70%

No Identified Risk

561

289

850

5.10%

Total

12632

3967

16599

100%

 

*MSM = Men who had Sex with Men
**IDU= Intravenous Drug User
***PWHA=Person Who Has AIDS
****
Information from "The HIV/AIDS Epidemiologic Profile for the District of Columbia" Dec 2004  [4]


Table Five: MALE AIDS Cases by Mode of Transmission/Race in Washington DC

 

*Table copied from "The HIV/AIDS Epidemiologic Profile for the District of Columbia" Dec 2004 [4]


Map Two:

The Wards affected most by MSM are 1, 2, and 3. Ward 3 seems exceptionally high, but it really only accounts for a very small amount of the cases in D.C. as a whole. Amazingly, even though Wards 1 and 2 are part of the "gay neighborhood", only a little over half of the AIDS cases are from MSM. See Map Four for more.

*Map from "The HIV/AIDS Epidemiologic Profile for the District of Columbia" Dec 2004 [4]


Map Three:

This map shows the very substantial female population in Ward 3. In all of D.C., 42% of AIDS cases are reportedly transmitted between males only (Table Four). A higher female population automatically limits how many cases can be caused between men. Interestingly, something similar seems to be at work in wards 1 and 2.

*Map from "The HIV/AIDS Epidemiologic Profile for the District of Columbia" Dec 2004 [4]


Map Four:

Almost the opposite of Map Two, this map shows the other major risks for transmission of AIDS. Amazingly, Wards 1 and 2 are not very affected. So what is causing the huge number of AIDS cases in those areas?

*Table copied from "The HIV/AIDS Epidemiologic Profile for the District of Columbia" Dec 2004 [4]

 


Table Six: Public Assistance vs. AIDS*

WARD % Households on Public Assistance CUMULATIVE AIDS RATE
1 4.9 3,383
2 1.6 3,351
3 0.4 647
4 3.4 1,805
5 6.7 2,381
6 5.1 2,973
7 9.4 1,676
8 16 1,837

Correlation: .0789 (Very Weak)
Correlation without Ward 3: .598 (stronger, not quite significant)

*Information from neighborhoodinfodc.org, Neighborhood Info In D.C., from the 2000 Census [8]


Table Seven: Teen Mothers vs. AIDS*

WARD % BIRTHS TO TEEN MOTHERS CUMULATIVE AIDS RATE
1 12 3,383
2 9.4 3,351
3 0.8 647
4 11 1,805
5 18 2,381
6 14 2,973
7 20 1,676
8 20 1,837

Correlation: .229 (Weak)
Correlation without Ward 3: .65 (Stronger, not quite significant)

*Information from neighborhoodinfodc.org, Neighborhood Info In D.C., from the 2000 Census [8]

 


Table Eight: Family Income vs. AIDS* 1999

WARD Avg. Family Income CUMULATIVE AIDS RATE
1 59,140 3,383
2 130,891 3,351
3 187,709 647
4 81,500 1,805
5 54,479 2,381
6 67,454 2,973
7 45,039 1,676
8 35,228 1,837

Correlation: .336
Correlation without Ward 3: .55

*Information from neighborhoodinfodc.org, Neighborhood Info In D.C., from the 2000 Census [8]


Table Nine: Violent Crimes vs. AIDS*

WARD Violent Crimes CUMULATIVE AIDS RATE
1 17 3,383
2 14 3,351
3 2.4 673
4 11 1,805
5 17 2,381
6 20 2,973
7 17 1,676
8 20 1,837

Correlation: .611
without Ward 3: .07

*Information from neighborhoodinfodc.org, Neighborhood Info In D.C., from the 2000 Census [8]