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AIDS in Indiana County

Project Two: Correlations

 

 

Race Correlations

   

I also investigated the correlation of race to AIDS rates.  I figured that for the United States there would be a very strong, positive correlation for the percentage of black or African Americans in the population, but was not sure what to expect for my counties.  The only area where there is a remotely significant percentage of African Americans is in Allegheny County, most likely due to the metropolitan area in and around Pittsburgh (Table 3; Map 4).[2]  Therefore, I did not expect to see a strong correlation for the percentage of black persons in the rest of Southwestern Pennsylvania.  After compiling census data on race, I found significant correlation coefficients for percentages of white, black, and Hispanic populations.  The strong positive correlations for the black percent of the population, and even stronger negative correlation for the white percent are congruous with my predictions (Table 6).  Once again, Allegheny County was an outlier, and once removed, no significant correlations existed regarding either race (Graph 3; Graph 3a; Graph 4; Graph 4a).  I was most surprised by the significantly positive correlation to the percentage of Hispanics, especially that the correlation actually grew stronger after removing the outlying Allegheny County (Graph 2; Graph 2a).  The correlation between the Hispanic percent of the population and the AIDS rate is the only correlation, of all the data sets I worked with, that displayed significance after removing Allegheny County.  However, after examining the graphical data, I realized that the data did not truly produce a meaningful correlation value; instead of being closely related in a linear fashion, the data points merely deviate from the linear regression line in virtually equal magnitude on either side of the line (Graph 2a). (See also Map 2; Map 3.) 

 

 

Table 3: Adult/Adolescent AIDS**: Race/Ethnicity by Gender

 

 

Male

Female

Total

Cumulative AIDS Cases

Cumulative AIDS Cases

Cumulative AIDS Cases

Population (2000)

Cumulative AIDS Rate

 

White,

Non-Hispanic

Indiana County*

 

 

27

86,493

31

SW PA***

 

 

1,992

2,519,401

79

PA

9,935 (86.9%)

1,502 (13.1%)

11,437

10,322,455

111

USA

340,295 (90.4%)

36,256 (9.6%)

376,551

194,552,774

193

 

Black,

Non-Hispanic

Indiana County*

 

 

3

1,391

216

SW PA

 

 

1,178

198,280

594

PA

11,791 (74.7%)

3,988 (25.3%)

15,779

1,202,437

1312

USA

270,771 (71.4%)

108,451 (28.6%)

379,312

33,947,837

1117

 

 

Hispanic

Indiana County*

 

 

1

457

219

SW PA

 

 

81

20,106

403

PA

2,624 (73.4%)

949 (26.6%)

3,573

394,088

907

USA

142,523 (80.5%)

34,614 (19.5%)

177,137

35,305,818

502

 

 

Other Race

Indiana County*

 

 

0

1,264

0

SW PA

 

 

17

56,198

30

PA

136 (78.6%)

37 (21.4%)

173

362,074

48

USA

11,219 (82.1%)

2,448 (17.9%)

 13,667

17,615,477

78

 * Breakdown of data in Indiana County is from 2004, when there were 31 cases. 2005 statistics record 33 cumulative cases of AIDS

 ** Does not include pediatric (<13) AIDS cases

 ** Southwestern PA represents data collected from the Southwest Pennsylvania AIDS Planning Coalition, encompassing Allegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Butler, Cambria, Fayette, Greene, Indiana, Somerset, Washington, and Westmoreland Counties.

 

Table 6: Correlations with Race

County

Total

Population

Cumulative

AIDS Cases

Cumulative

AIDS Rate

Hispanic

or Latino

%

Hispanic

 

White

Alone

%

White

Black

Alone

%

Black

All

Other

Races

%

Other

Races

Allegheny

1,281,666

2,393

186.71

11,166

0.87

1,074,129

83.81

158,049

12.33

38,322

2.99

Armstrong

72,392

38

52.49

308

0.43

70,976

98.04

578

0.8

530

0.73

Beaver

181,412

121

66.7

1,315

0.72

167,018

92.07

10,728

5.91

2,351

1.30

Butler

174,083

56

32.17

1,016

0.58

169,634

97.44

1,343

0.77

2,090

1.20

Cambria

152,598

126

82.57

1,352

0.89

145,330

95.24

4,224

2.77

1,692

1.11

Fayette

148,644

64

43.06

564

0.38

141,265

95.04

5,191

3.49

1,624

1.09

Greene

40,672

30

73.76

357

0.88

38,365

94.33

1,579

3.88

371

0.91

Indiana

89,605

33

36.83

457

0.51

86,493

96.53

1,391

1.55

1,264

1.41

Somerset

80,023

75

93.72

532

0.66

77,736

97.14

1,268

1.58

487

0.61

Washington

202,897

117

57.66

1,170

0.58

192,511

94.88

6,554

3.23

2,662

1.31

Westmoreland

369,993

215

58.11

1,869

0.51

355,944

96.2

7,375

1.99

4,805

1.30

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Correlations

 

 

 

 

0.652

 

-0.860

 

0.856

 

0.725

Correlations w/out Allegheny County

 

 

0.680

 

-0.248

 

0.290

 

-0.533

 

   
   
   

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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