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AIDS in Indiana County

Project Two: Correlations

 

Unmarried-Partner Household Correlations

Since male-to-male sexual contact was the most common mode of transmission for AIDS cases in Indiana County, Southwestern Pennsylvania, and Pennsylvania, I expected that there would be a positive correlation between the AIDS rate and households comprised of two male partners living together12.  I gathered census data on unmarried-partner households and found that there was a strong, positive correlation between the percentages of male householders living with a male partner and the AIDS rates for the counties in Southwestern Pennsylvania (Table 4; Table 5; Map 1).  When I graphed this data, I noticed a cluster of points with an outlier, Allegheny County (Graph 1).  After removing Allegheny County from consideration, the correlation coefficient for the male-partner households decreased greatly, showing that there was no significance in the correlation for the remaining ten counties (Graph 1a).

Table 4: Cumulative AIDS Cases: Mode of Transmission by Gender

 

MSM

IDU

MSM/IDU

HCD

HRH

BT

Other

Total Adult**

Pediatric

Male

Indiana County

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SW PA

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2,822***

 

PA

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

24,287

199

USA

416,232 (54%)

159,676(21%)

62,940 (8%)

5,142 (1%)

46,533 (6%)

5,190 (1%)

69,095 (9%)

764,808

 

Female

Indiana County

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SW PA

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

446***

 

PA

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

6,325

151

USA

---

65,534 (36%)

---

340 (0%)

79,872 (44%)

4,144 (2%)

31,879 (18%)

181,769

 

Total

Indiana County*

20 (65%)

2 (6%)

1 (3%)

1 (3%)

3 (10%)

1 (3%)

3 (10%)

31

0

SW PA

1,934 (59%)

565 (17%)

179 (5%)

57 (2%)

331 (10%)

55 (2%)

126 (4%)

3,248

20

PA

12,107 (40%)

10,138 (33%)

1,585 (5%)

243 (1%)

5,160 (17%)

274 (1%)

1,079 (3%)

30,586

376^

USA

416,232 (44%)

225,210 (24%)

62,940 (7%)

5,482 (0%)

126,405 (13%)

9,334 (1%)

100,975 (11%)

946,578

9,441

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   * Breakdown of data in Indiana County is from 2004, when there were 31 cases. 2005 statistics record 33 cumulative cases of AIDS

   ** Percentages of modes of transmission are based on the total adult population, and do not take into account pediatric cases

   *** Includes 20 pediatric cases with an unknown distribution between male and female

   ^ Includes 26 adult cases suspected to have occurred before 13

 

   MSM: Male-to-male sexual contact

   IDU: Injection drug use

   MSM/IDU: Male-to-male sexual contact and injection drug use

   HCD: Hemophilia/coagulation disorder

   HRH: High-risk heterosexual contact

   BT: Receipt of blood transfusion, blood components, or tissue

Table 5: Correlations with Household Type

 

 

 

County

Total

Population

Cum

AIDS

Cases

Cum

AIDS

Rate

Total

households:

Unmarried-

partner

households:

%

Unmarried

Male

householder

and male

partner

%

Male-

Male

Male

householder

and female

partner

%

Male-

Female

Female

householder

and female

partner

%

Female-

Female

Female

householder

and male

partner

%

Female-

Male

All other

households

%Other

Households

Allegheny

1,281,666

2,393

186.71

537,150

23,371

4.35

1,155

0.22

10,353

1.93

1,242

0.23

10,621

1.98

513,779

95.65

Armstrong

72,392

38

52.49

29,005

1,304

4.5

41

0.14

729

2.51

53

0.18

481

1.66

27,701

95.5

Beaver

181,412

121

66.7

72,576

3,021

4.16

109

0.15

1,519

2.09

114

0.16

1,279

1.76

69,555

95.84

Butler

174,083

56

32.17

65,862

2,763

4.2

91

0.14

1,562

2.37

111

0.17

999

1.52

63,099

95.8

Cambria

152,598

126

82.57

60,531

2,413

3.99

85

0.14

1,300

2.15

91

0.15

937

1.55

58,118

96.01

Fayette

148,644

64

43.06

59,969

2,893

4.82

87

0.15

1,457

2.43

132

0.22

1,217

2.03

57,076

95.18

Greene

40,672

30

73.76

15,060

744

4.94

19

0.13

403

2.68

28

0.19

294

1.95

14,316

95.06

Indiana

89,605

33

36.83

34,123

1,338

3.92

52

0.15

772

2.26

50

0.15

464

1.36

32,785

96.08

Somerset

80,023

75

93.72

31,222

1,267

4.06

58

0.19

704

2.25

54

0.17

451

1.44

29,955

95.94

Washington

202,897

117

57.66

81,130

3,468

4.27

104

0.13

1,845

2.27

144

0.18

1,375

1.69

77,662

95.73

Westmoreland

369,993

215

58.11

149,813

5,590

3.73

185

0.12

2,983

1.99

219

0.15

2,203

1.47

144,223

96.27

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Correlations

 

 

 

 

 

0.0355

 

0.809

 

-0.503

 

0.518

 

0.389

 

 

Correlations w/out Allegheny County

 

 

 

 

 

0.380

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
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